mLLDPE Price Trend in Q3 2025: A Simple Global Market Overview
The mLLDPE Price Trend during Q3 2025 showed moderate stability across most major regions. Unlike highly volatile commodities, Metallocene Linear Low-Density Polyethylene (mLLDPE) moved within a narrow range, with overall price variations of around 1–2% globally. While some countries experienced slight declines, others saw small recoveries toward the end of the quarter. Overall, the market reflected balanced supply, cautious buying behavior, and steady but not strong downstream demand.
mLLDPE is widely used in flexible packaging, stretch films, food packaging, and consumer goods applications. Because packaging demand is closely linked to consumer spending and industrial production, any slowdown in these areas directly impacts mLLDPE Prices. In Q3 2025, the market remained resilient but somewhat cautious due to global economic uncertainties.
Global Market Overview
Globally, the mLLDPE market demonstrated resilience during the third quarter of 2025. In the Asia-Pacific region, including countries like China, India, and South Korea, demand remained steady to slightly firm, mainly from packaging and film manufacturers. Feedstock ethylene prices were relatively moderate, helping maintain cost balance for producers.
North America experienced stable pricing conditions supported by balanced supply and consistent demand from the flexible packaging sector. Meanwhile, Europe showed largely steady price movements, although buying sentiment remained cautious due to softer downstream consumption.
Overall, the global mLLDPE Price Trend was shaped by three key factors: regional supply-demand balance, ethylene feedstock trends, and the pace of manufacturing activity.
Germany: Downward Pressure with Late Recovery
In Germany, domestically traded mLLDPE Prices declined by about 3.6% during Q3 2025. Prices ranged between USD 1320–1340 per metric ton (FD Hamburg) for Film Grade C6 (MFI: 0.7–1). The main reason behind this decline was reduced demand from packaging and industrial film sectors.
Throughout most of the quarter, procurement activity remained lower than expected. Even though supply was stable, the lack of stronger demand kept downward pressure on prices. Economic uncertainty and slower industrial output across Europe also contributed to weaker buying sentiment.
However, September 2025 brought a slight improvement. Prices in Germany increased by 1.10%, supported by better buying interest and a small recovery in packaging demand. Additionally, firmer crude oil and naphtha prices raised ethylene costs, which increased production expenses and provided some price support to mLLDPE producers.
This late-quarter recovery showed that even a small improvement in downstream demand can influence mLLDPE Prices positively.
Singapore: Stable with Minor Softness
In Singapore, mLLDPE export prices declined by about 1.1% during Q3 2025. Compared to other regions, this change was relatively small, indicating moderate stability. Demand from regional markets remained steady but not particularly strong.
Although global demand for packaging materials remained somewhat soft, Singapore did not experience severe price corrections. Stable supply conditions and consistent regional trade flows helped prevent larger declines.
However, in September 2025, prices fell by 2.48%. This drop was mainly due to subdued regional demand and abundant product availability across Southeast Asia. Softer ethylene feedstock values also reduced cost support. Competitive offers from Middle Eastern and Chinese suppliers added additional pricing pressure.
Converters in the region operated at reduced rates due to weaker end-user consumption in film packaging applications. This limited procurement activity and contributed to the late-quarter softness.
India: Demand Slowdown Impacts Prices
In India, domestically traded mLLDPE Prices declined by about 3.2% in Q3 2025 (Ex-Vapi, Film Grade C6, MFI: 1). The decline was largely driven by lower demand from packaging industries and slower consumer spending.
Domestic industrial activity showed signs of weakness during the quarter, leading to cautious procurement strategies. Even though supply remained steady, demand was not strong enough to support stable pricing. Buyers preferred to maintain limited inventories and purchase only essential volumes.
In September 2025, prices declined further by 1.59%. Import prices edged lower due to steady inflows from Singapore and China. Lower freight rates and competitive regional offers made imported material more attractive, putting additional pressure on domestic pricing.
India’s mLLDPE Price Trend reflected broader regional conditions, where economic uncertainties influenced buying behavior and limited price growth.
United States: Export Weakness and Inventory Pressure
In the United States, mLLDPE export prices (FOB Houston, Film Grade C6, MFI: 1) declined by 2.6% during Q3 2025. The price movement was mainly influenced by reduced demand from packaging industries and softer export inquiries.
While supply levels remained stable, global buyers reduced procurement volumes due to slower economic growth. As a result, producers had to adjust export prices downward to remain competitive.
In September 2025, prices decreased by 2.34%. Higher inventory levels in the domestic market coincided with slower demand from film and packaging manufacturers. Export demand from Latin America and Asia also eased, further weighing on sentiment.
The U.S. mLLDPE Price Trend showed how inventory levels and export activity can significantly influence pricing dynamics.
Key Market Drivers
The mLLDPE market in Q3 2025 was shaped by several important factors:
Balanced Supply – Production levels remained stable in most regions.
Moderate Feedstock Costs – Ethylene prices did not fluctuate sharply, helping maintain cost stability.
Cautious Buying Behavior – Buyers preferred short-term procurement strategies.
Packaging Sector Demand – As the primary end-use segment, packaging trends strongly influenced mLLDPE Prices.
Global Economic Uncertainty – Slower industrial activity limited aggressive purchasing.
Despite minor declines in several countries, the overall global mLLDPE Price Trend remained relatively stable compared to other petrochemical products.
Market Outlook
Looking ahead, the mLLDPE market is expected to remain stable with limited volatility. Seasonal demand recovery from packaging and consumer goods sectors may provide some support in the coming months.
If crude oil and naphtha prices remain firm, ethylene costs could increase slightly, offering additional price support. However, much will depend on consumer spending patterns and industrial production growth.
Overall, the global market appears balanced, with no signs of severe oversupply or sudden demand collapse. The stability observed in Q3 2025 suggests that mLLDPE Prices may move within a controlled range in the near term.
Although some countries saw quarterly decreases of 2–3%, the overall global market remained resilient. Stable supply, cautious procurement, and steady manufacturing activity defined the quarter. As the market moves forward, gradual stabilization is expected, supported by balanced supply-demand conditions and consistent packaging sector consumption.
The Q3 2025 performance shows that while mLLDPE Prices faced pressure from softer demand, the market remained steady and adaptable in a changing global economic environment.
Price-Watch AI is an India-based, independent raw material price reporting agency that provides real-time price forecasts and data-driven insights into global raw material markets. Price-Watch AI specializes in tracking raw material prices, analyzing market trends, and delivering timely updates on plant shutdowns, supply disruptions, capacity expansions, and demand-supply dynamics. The Price-Watch AI platform empowers manufacturers, traders, and procurement professionals to make faster, smarter decisions. Leveraging AI-powered forecasting and over a decade of historical data, Price-Watch AI transforms market volatility into actionable opportunity.
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